4 papers
Climate network characterization of the AMOC edge state
Laure Moinat, Reyk Börner, Valerio Lucarini +2
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) has been identified as a tipping element in the Earth system. Under the current climate change scenarios, it is urgent to dev…
Failure to track a stable AMOC state under rapid climate change
René M. van Westen, René M. van Westen, Reyk Börner +2
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a tipping element of the climate system. The current estimate of the global warming threshold for the onset of an AMOC col…
Constructing efficient score functions for rare event simulation in high-dimensional ocean-climate models
Lucas Esclapez, Valérian Jacques-Dumas, Reyk Börner +2
Calculating transition probabilities between different states of multistable climate tipping systems is computationally challenging in high-dimensional models. Targeted algorithms,…
Global stability of the Atlantic overturning circulation: Edge state, long transients and boundary crisis under CO forcing
Reyk Börner, Oliver Mehling, Jost von Hardenberg +1
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), a crucial ocean current system, could transition to a weak state. Despite severe associated climate impacts, assessing the A…