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20232026
most citedCalibration of Time-Series Forecasting: Detecting and Adapting Context-Driven Distribution Shift

19 citations · 23 across the 8 of their papers we have counts for

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5 papers · 1 filter

cs.LG2026

TSFMAudit: Data Contamination Auditing in Forecasting Time Series Foundation Models

Hongkai Li, Shifeng Xie, Lefei Shen +7

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) are increasingly pretrained on large corpora, raising concerns that evaluation datasets may have been exposed during pretraining and thus yiel…

cs.LG2026

Skillful Kilometer-Scale Regional Weather Forecasting via Global and Regional Coupling

Weiqi Chen, Wenwei Wang, Qilong Yuan +5

Data-driven weather models have advanced global medium-range forecasting, yet high-resolution regional prediction remains challenging due to unresolved multiscale interactions betw…

cs.LG2025

The Power of Architecture: Deep Dive into Transformer Architectures for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting

Lefei Shen, Mouxiang Chen, Han Fu +5

Transformer-based models have recently become dominant in Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF), yet the variations in their architecture, such as encoder-only, encoder-decoder,…

cs.LG2025

Utilizing Strategic Pre-training to Reduce Overfitting: Baguan -- A Pre-trained Weather Forecasting Model

Peisong Niu, Ziqing Ma, Tian Zhou +4

Weather forecasting has long posed a significant challenge for humanity. While recent AI-based models have surpassed traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) methods in globa…

cs.LG2023★ 19 cited

Calibration of Time-Series Forecasting: Detecting and Adapting Context-Driven Distribution Shift

Mouxiang Chen, Lefei Shen, Han Fu +3

Recent years have witnessed the success of introducing deep learning models to time series forecasting. From a data generation perspective, we illustrate that existing models are s…