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stat.ML2026
Manifold Constrained Conformal Prediction for Spatial Events
Collin Nill, Trevor Harris, Jason Adams
We introduce a new conformal prediction method that constructs calibrated prediction sets over collections of spatial events, such as tropical cyclone genesis and earthquake locati…
stat.ML2026
Flow-Based Conformal Predictive Distributions
Trevor Harris
Conformal prediction provides a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification via prediction sets with exact finite-sample coverage. In low dimensions these sets are e…