5 papers
Integrating Unsupervised and Supervised Learning for the Prediction of Defensive Schemes in American football
Rouven Michels, Robert Bajons, Jan-Ole Fischer
Anticipating defensive coverage schemes is a crucial yet challenging task for offenses in American football. Because defenders' assignments are intentionally disguised before the s…
Rethinking player evaluation in sports: Goals above expectation and beyond
Robert Bajons, Lucas Kook
A popular quantitative approach to evaluating player performance in sports involves comparing an observed outcome to the expected outcome ignoring player involvement, which is esti…
The path to a goal: Understanding soccer possessions via path signatures
David Hirnschall, Robert Bajons
We present a novel framework for predicting next actions in soccer possessions by leveraging path signatures to encode their complex spatio-temporal structure. Unlike existing appr…
Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus Models for Evaluating and Scouting Football (Soccer) Players using Possession Sequences
Robert Bajons, Kurt Hornik
This paper presents a novel framework for evaluating players in association football (soccer). Our method uses possession sequences, i.e. sequences of consecutive on-ball actions,…
PEP: a tackle value measuring the prevention of expected points
Robert Bajons, Jan-Ole Koslik, Rouven Michels +1
Traditional assessments of tackling in American Football often only consider the number of tackles made, without adequately accounting for their context and importance for the game…