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stat.AP2024
Chimeric Forecasting: Blending Human Judgment and Computational Methods for Improved, Real-time Forecasts of Influenza Hospitalizations
Thomas McAndrew, Mark Lechmanik, ErinN. Hulland +3
Infectious disease forecasts can reduce mortality and morbidity by supporting evidence-based public health decision making. Most epidemic models train on surveillance and structure…
q-bio.PE2024
Assessing Human Judgment Forecasts in the Rapid Spread of the Mpox Outbreak: Insights and Challenges for Pandemic Preparedness
Thomas McAndrew, Maimuna S. Majumder, Andrew A. Lover +10
In May 2022, mpox (formerly monkeypox) spread to non-endemic countries rapidly. Human judgment is a forecasting approach that has been sparsely evaluated during the beginning of an…