4 papers
Bayesian calibration of adaptive-behavior SIR models for multi-wave COVID-19 incidence in New York City
Luis A. Barboza, Carlos Pasquier, Baltazar Espinoza +1
Epidemic incidence reflects both transmission dynamics and adaptive human behavior, yet these mechanisms may be difficult to distinguish from aggregate case data alone. We calibrat…
Localized risk perception triggers early behavioral adaptations in epidemics on networks
Baltazar Espinoza, Jimmy Calvo-Monge, Fabio Sanchez +2
The contact structure of the population shapes the progression of epidemics. Nonetheless, the joint evolution of individual behavioral adaptations and disease dynamics on networks…
The nexus between disease surveillance, adaptive human behavior and epidemic containment
Baltazar Espinoza, Roger Sanchez, Jimmy Calvo-Monge +1
Epidemics exhibit interconnected processes that operate at multiple time and organizational scales, a hallmark of complex adaptive systems. Modern epidemiological modeling framewor…
Interplay between Foraging Choices and Population Growth Dynamics
Jimmy Calvo-Monge, Baltazar Espinoza, Fabio Sanchez
In this study, we couple a population dynamics model with a model for optimal foraging to study the interdependence between individual-level cost-benefits and population-scale dyna…