3 papers
stat.ME2025
Wrong Model, Right Uncertainty: Spatial Associations for Discrete Data with Misspecification
David R. Burt, Renato Berlinghieri, Tamara Broderick
Scientists are often interested in estimating an association between a covariate and a binary- or count-valued response. For instance, public health officials are interested in how…
stat.ML2025
Smooth Sailing: Lipschitz-Driven Uncertainty Quantification for Spatial Association
David R. Burt, Renato Berlinghieri, Stephen Bates +1
Estimating associations between spatial covariates and responses - rather than merely predicting responses - is central to environmental science, epidemiology, and economics. For i…
cs.LG2024
Are Hourly PM2.5 Forecasts Sufficiently Accurate to Plan Your Day? Individual Decision Making in the Face of Increasing Wildfire Smoke
Renato Berlinghieri, David R. Burt, Paolo Giani +2
Wildfire frequency is increasing as the climate changes, and the resulting air pollution poses health risks. Just as people routinely use hourly weather forecasts to plan their day…