5 papers
A Simulation Based Inference Approach to Modelling of Type Ia Supernova Populations
B. Popovic, M. Grayling, M. O'Callaghan +10
Type Ia Supernovae (SNe Ia) are prominent cosmological probes, utilising a standardisation process to reduce their observed scatter to mag. A growing number of models se…
On the origin of the environmental step: A BayeSN view of the ZTF SN Ia DR2
Madeleine Ginolin, Matthew Grayling, Kaisey S. Mandel +5
Astrophysical variabilities of Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia), such as their link with their birth environment, are now one of the leading sources of systematic uncertainties on the m…
FlowSN: Neural Simulation-Based Inference under Realistic Selection Effects applied to Supernova Cosmology
Benjamin M. Boyd, Kaisey S. Mandel, Matthew Grayling +10
We present FlowSN, a statistical framework using simulation-based inference (SBI) with normalising flows to account for selection effects in observational astronomy. Failure to acc…
Misspecification-robust amortised simulation-based inference using variational methods
Matthew O'Callaghan, Kaisey S. Mandel, Gerry Gilmore
Recent advances in neural density estimation have enabled powerful simulation-based inference (SBI) methods that can flexibly approximate Bayesian inference for intractable stochas…
Data-driven dust inference at mid-to-high Galactic latitudes using probabilistic machine learning
Matthew O'Callaghan, Kaisey S. Mandel, Gerry Gilmore
We present a method for accurately and precisely inferring photometric dust extinction towards stars at mid-to-high Galactic latitudes using probabilistic machine learning to model…