activity
20232026
most citedMixture distributions for probabilistic forecasts of disease outbreaks

1 citations · 1 across the 4 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

5 papers

stat.AP2026

Bayesian Sparsity Modeling of Shared Neural Response in Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging Data

Spencer Wadsworth, Nabin Koirala, Nicole Landi +1

Detecting shared neural activity from functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) across individuals exposed to the same stimulus can reveal synchronous brain responses, functiona…

stat.ME2025

Bayesian Stacking via Proper Scoring Rule Optimization using a Gibbs Posterior

Spencer Wadsworth, Jarad Niemi

In collaborative forecast projects, the combining of multiple probabilistic forecasts into an ensemble is standard practice, with linear pooling being a common combination method.…

stat.ME2025

Quantile Forecast Matching with a Bayesian Quantile Gaussian Process Model

Spencer Wadsworth, Jarad Niemi

A set of probabilities along with corresponding quantiles are often used to define predictive distributions or probabilistic forecasts. These quantile predictions offer easily inte…

stat.AP2024

Forecasting Influenza Hospitalizations Using a Bayesian Hierarchical Nonlinear Model with Discrepancy

Spencer Wadsworth, Jarad Niemi

The annual influenza outbreak leads to significant public health and economic burdens making it desirable to have prompt and accurate probabilistic forecasts of the disease spread.…

stat.AP2023★ 1 cited

Mixture distributions for probabilistic forecasts of disease outbreaks

Spencer Wadsworth, Jarad Niemi, Nick Reich

Collaboration among multiple teams has played a major role in probabilistic forecasting events of influenza outbreaks, the COVID-19 pandemic, other disease outbreaks, and in many o…