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econ.EM2026
Match forecasts in UEFA club competitions: Elo ratings versus Transfermarkt valuations
Gergely Csurilla, László Csató
The pre-season strengths of European football clubs are usually measured by two proxies in the literature. Football Club Elo Ratings provide strictly performance-based Elo ratings…
physics.soc-ph2026
Match classification in the last round of four-team round-robin tournaments
László Csató, András Gyimesi
Classification of matches played in the last rounds of sports competitions is a well-established tool for evaluating tournament designs. Both deterministic and probabilistic approa…
physics.soc-ph2026
A probabilistic match classification model for low-scoring sports
László Csató, András Gyimesi
All existing match classification models in the tournament design literature suffer from two major limitations: a contestant is considered indifferent only if uncertain future resu…