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On the Potential of Multi-Task Learning in Predictive Process Monitoring
Lukas Kirchdorfer, Keyvan Amiri Elyasi, Heiner Stuckenschmidt
Predictive Process Monitoring (PPM) forecasts how ongoing organizational processes unfold, enabling information systems to move beyond execution support toward proactive analysis a…
Mind the Long Tail: Understanding the Difficulty of Delay Detection in Business Processes
Keyvan Amiri Elyasi, Lukas Kirchdorfer, Heiner Stuckenschmidt
The early detection of delayed cases in business processes is a critical capability for organizations. Predictive process monitoring (PPM) supports this task by using historical ev…
Revisiting Predictive Process Monitoring in the Age of Foundation Models: A Comparative Study of Sequence, Tabular, and LLM Approaches
Lennart Fertig, Lukas Kirchdorfer, Tobias Sesterhenn
Predictive process monitoring (PPM) leverages event logs to forecast the future of running process instances, for instance, predicting the next activity, the remaining time until c…
Temporal Knowledge Graph Forecasting under Distribution Shifts: A Synthetic Evaluation
Konrad Özdemir, Julia Gastinger, Lukas Kirchdorfer +1
Temporal knowledge graphs (TKGs) represent evolving relational systems, whose underlying data-generating processes often change over time. Yet, TKG forecasting models are commonly…
Organizational Memory for Agentic Business Process Execution
Lukas Kirchdorfer, Adrian Rebmann, Christian Warmuth +3
LLM-based agents offer new opportunities for automating business process execution beyond the limits of rule-based systems. However, general-purpose LLMs lack the organization-spec…
From Global Policies to Local Strategies: Multi-Objective Optimization of Resource-Specific Handover Policies
Lukas Kirchdorfer, Artemis Doumeni, Han van der Aa +1
Efficient resource allocation is a key challenge in business process management, with direct implications for cost, throughput time, and utilization. While recent Reinforcement Lea…
Formal Foundations of Agentic Business Process Management
Giuseppe De Giacomo, Timotheus Kampik, Lukas Kirchdorfer +2
Just like traditional BPM systems, agentic BPM systems are built around a specification of the process under consideration. Their distinguishing feature, however, is that the execu…