activity
20242026
most citedAIFS -- ECMWF's data-driven forecasting system

75 citations · 76 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

6 papers

physics.ao-ph2026

Varda-single-1.0: deterministic data-driven weather forecasting at 1 km resolution over Switzerland's complex topography

Alberto Pennino, Francesco Zanetta, Michele Cattaneo +28

We present Varda-single-1.0, a medium-range data-driven weather prediction system built for the Alpine domain. It provides hourly deterministic regional forecasts on a mesh of 1 km…

physics.ao-ph2026

HourGlass: A probabilistic data-driven temporal downscaler for global and regional weather forecasting

Magnus Sikora Ingstad, Mariana C. A. Clare, Olav Ersland +16

Many forecast applications require high frequency temporal resolution, yet most state-of-the-art data-driven weather forecasting systems operate at 6-hourly resolution. Although di…

physics.ao-ph2026

Representing the Surface Ocean in ECMWF's data-driven forecasting system AIFS

Sara Hahner, Lorenzo Zampieri, Jean-Raymond Bidlot +22

Machine-learning (ML) models, such as the AIFS at the ECMWF, have revolutionised weather forecasting in recent years. We present an extension of the AIFS that jointly models the at…

physics.ao-ph2026

Downscaling weather forecasts from Low- to High-Resolution with Diffusion Models

Joffrey Dumont Le Brazidec, Simon Lang, Martin Leutbecher +9

We introduce a probabilistic diffusion-based method for global atmospheric downscaling implemented within the Anemoi framework. The approach transforms low-resolution ensemble fore…

physics.ao-ph2025★ 1 cited

An update to ECMWF's machine-learned weather forecast model AIFS

Gabriel Moldovan, Ewan Pinnington, Ana Prieto Nemesio +18

We present an update to ECMWF's machine-learned weather forecasting model AIFS Single with several key improvements. The model now incorporates physical consistency constraints thr…

physics.ao-ph2024★ 75 cited

AIFS -- ECMWF's data-driven forecasting system

Simon Lang, Mihai Alexe, Matthew Chantry +13

Machine learning-based weather forecasting models have quickly emerged as a promising methodology for accurate medium-range global weather forecasting. Here, we introduce the Artif…