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stat.ML2025
Predictive inference for time series: why is split conformal effective despite temporal dependence?
Rina Foygel Barber, Ashwin Pananjady
We consider the problem of uncertainty quantification for prediction in a time series: if we use past data to forecast the next time point, can we provide valid prediction interval…
math.ST2025
Unifying Different Theories of Conformal Prediction
Rina Foygel Barber, Ryan J. Tibshirani
This paper presents a unified framework for understanding the methodology and theory behind several different methods in the conformal prediction literature, which includes standar…