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gr-qc2026

Ab Initio Real-Time Gravitational-Wave Parameter Estimation

David Yallup, Metha Prathaban, James Alvey +4

We present a specialised GPU-native nested sampling kernel targeting rapid parameter estimation for gravitational wave inference problems. Building upon a Slice-within-Gibbs (SwiG)…

astro-ph.CO2026

Rapid Hubble constant inference from GW170817 using GPU-accelerated nested sampling: prior sensitivity and the limits of post-hoc reweighting

Ming Han Yang, Metha Prathaban, David Yallup +1

The bright-siren measurement of the Hubble constant from GW170817 (Abbott et al. 2017) assumes that switching from a volumetric to a uniform-in- luminosity-distance prior can…

cs.DC2026

jaxsgp4: GPU-accelerated mega-constellation propagation with batch parallelism

Charlotte Priestley, Will Handley

As the population of anthropogenic space objects transitions from sparse clusters to mega-constellations exceeding 100,000 satellites, traditional orbital propagation techniques fa…

cs.LG2026

Automatic Laplace Collapsed Sampling: Scalable Marginalisation of Latent Parameters via Automatic Differentiation

Toby Lovick, David Yallup, Will Handley

We present Automatic Laplace Collapsed Sampling (ALCS), a general framework for marginalising latent parameters in Bayesian models using automatic differentiation, which we combine…

astro-ph.IM2026

Conditional Neural Bayes Ratio Estimation for Experimental Design Optimisation

S. A. K. Leeney, T. Gessey-Jones, W. J. Handley +3

For frontier experiments operating at the edge of detectability, instrument design directly determines the probability of discovery. We introduce Conditional Neural Bayes Ratio Est…

astro-ph.CO2026

The Bayesian view of DESI DR2 with unimpeded: Evidence and tension in a combined analysis with CMB and supernovae across cosmological models

Dily Duan Yi Ong, David Yallup, Will Handley

We apply the framework to perform a fully Bayesian reanalysis of the DESI DR2 data, using nested sampling with to compute evidences for $Λ…