4 papers · 1 filter
Proper Scoring Rules for Right-Censored Survival Data
Jef Jonkers, Glenn Van Wallendael, Luc Duchateau +1
Proper scoring rules provide a rigorous theoretical basis for the training and evaluation of probabilistic forecasts. However, in the presence of right censoring, the event time is…
Conformal Prediction for Dose-Response Models with Continuous Treatments
Jarne Verhaeghe, Jef Jonkers, Sofie Van Hoecke
Understanding the dose-response relation between a continuous treatment and the outcome for an individual can greatly drive decision-making, particularly in areas like personalized…
Conformal Convolution and Monte Carlo Meta-learners for Predictive Inference of Individual Treatment Effects
Jef Jonkers, Jarne Verhaeghe, Glenn Van Wallendael +2
Generating probabilistic forecasts of potential outcomes and individual treatment effects (ITE) is essential for risk-aware decision-making in domains such as healthcare, policy, m…
Conformal Predictive Systems Under Covariate Shift
Jef Jonkers, Glenn Van Wallendael, Luc Duchateau +1
Conformal Predictive Systems (CPS) offer a versatile framework for constructing predictive distributions, allowing for calibrated inference and informative decision-making. However…