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stat.ME2026
Coherent Hierarchical Forecasting for Proportion and Discrete Time Series
Hannah Comiskey
Hierarchical and grouped time series arise when a multivariate time series is forced to satisfy a set of aggregation constraints, motivating forecast reconciliation methods that en…
stat.ME2025
Bayesian probabilistic projections of proportions with limited data: An application to subnational contraceptive method supply shares
Hannah Comiskey, Niamh Cahill, Leontine Alkema +2
Engaging the private sector in contraceptive method supply is critical for creating equitable, sustainable, and accessible healthcare systems. To achieve this, it is essential to u…
stat.ME2023
mcmsupply: An R Package for Estimating Contraceptive Method Market Supply Shares
Hannah Comiskey, Niamh Cahill
In this paper, we introduce the R package mcmsupply which implements Bayesian hierarchical models for estimating and projecting modern contraceptive market supply shares over time.…