most citedGraphDOP: Towards skilful data-driven medium-range weather forecasts learnt and initialised directly from observations

3 citations · 4 across the 3 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

6 papers

physics.ao-ph2025

Using data assimilation tools to dissect GraphDOP

Patrick Laloyaux, Mihai Alexe, Eulalie Boucher +5

The Data Assimilation (DA) community has been developing various diagnostics to understand the importance of the observing system in accurately forecasting the weather. They usuall…

physics.ao-ph2025

Learning Coupled Earth System Dynamics with GraphDOP

Eulalie Boucher, Mihai Alexe, Peter Lean +7

Interactions between different components of the Earth System (e.g. ocean, atmosphere, land and cryosphere) are a crucial driver of global weather patterns. Modern Numerical Weathe…

physics.ao-ph20251 cited

An update to ECMWF's machine-learned weather forecast model AIFS

Gabriel Moldovan, Ewan Pinnington, Ana Prieto Nemesio +18

We present an update to ECMWF's machine-learned weather forecasting model AIFS Single with several key improvements. The model now incorporates physical consistency constraints thr…

physics.ao-ph2025

Learning from nature: insights into GraphDOP's representations of the Earth System

Peter Lean, Mihai Alexe, Eulalie Boucher +5

Through a series of experiments, we provide evidence that the GraphDOP model - trained solely on meteorological observations, using no prior knowledge - develops internal represent…

physics.ao-ph20243 cited

GraphDOP: Towards skilful data-driven medium-range weather forecasts learnt and initialised directly from observations

Mihai Alexe, Eulalie Boucher, Peter Lean +11

We introduce GraphDOP, a new data-driven, end-to-end forecast system developed at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) that is trained and initialised exc…

stat.AP2024

The ecological forecast limit revisited: Potential, actual and relative system predictability

Marieke Wesselkamp, Jakob Albrecht, Ewan Pinnington +3

Ecological forecasts are model-based statements about currently unknown ecosystem states in time or space. For a model forecast to be useful to inform decision makers, model valida…