activity
20212026
most citedTail-GAN: Learning to Simulate Tail Risk Scenarios

10 citations · 17 across the 8 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

8 papers

q-fin.CP2026

Universal Diffusion Models for Implied Volatility Surfaces: Learning Shared Dynamics Across Stocks

Mingzhi Yang, Sheng Wang, Chao Zhang +1

Modeling the dynamics of option implied volatility surface (IVS) is crucial for pricing, hedging, and risk-managing option portfolios. We develop a universal conditional diffusion…

cs.CE2025

DeltaLag: Learning Dynamic Lead-Lag Patterns in Financial Markets

Wanyun Zhou, Saizhuo Wang, Mihai Cucuringu +5

The lead-lag effect, where the price movement of one asset systematically precedes that of another, has been widely observed in financial markets and conveys valuable predictive si…

q-fin.CP2025

Forecasting Intraday Volume in Equity Markets with Machine Learning

Mihai Cucuringu, Kang Li, Chao Zhang

This study focuses on forecasting intraday trading volumes, a crucial component for portfolio implementation, especially in high-frequency (HF) trading environments. Given the curr…

q-fin.ST2023★ 2 cited

Graph Neural Networks for Forecasting Multivariate Realized Volatility with Spillover Effects

Chao Zhang, Xingyue Pu, Mihai Cucuringu +1

We present a novel methodology for modeling and forecasting multivariate realized volatilities using customized graph neural networks to incorporate spillover effects across stocks…

q-fin.RM2022★ 10 cited

Tail-GAN: Learning to Simulate Tail Risk Scenarios

Rama Cont, Mihai Cucuringu, Renyuan Xu +1

The estimation of loss distributions for dynamic portfolios requires the simulation of scenarios representing realistic joint dynamics of their components. We propose a novel data-…

q-fin.ST2022★ 1 cited

Volatility forecasting with machine learning and intraday commonality

Chao Zhang, Yihuang Zhang, Mihai Cucuringu +1

We apply machine learning models to forecast intraday realized volatility (RV), by exploiting commonality in intraday volatility via pooling stock data together, and by incorporati…

q-fin.TR2021★ 3 cited

Cross-Impact of Order Flow Imbalance in Equity Markets

Rama Cont, Mihai Cucuringu, Chao Zhang

We investigate the impact of order flow imbalance (OFI) on price movements in equity markets in a multi-asset setting. First, we propose a systematic approach for combining OFIs at…

q-fin.PM2021★ 1 cited

A Universal End-to-End Approach to Portfolio Optimization via Deep Learning

Chao Zhang, Zihao Zhang, Mihai Cucuringu +1

We propose a universal end-to-end framework for portfolio optimization where asset distributions are directly obtained. The designed framework circumvents the traditional forecasti…