3 papers
cs.LG2026
Climate Variability Modulates the Impact of Price Spikes on Food Insecurity
Jordi Cerdà-Bautista, Vasileios Sitokonstantinou, Homer Durand +3
Climate variability influences whether a market disruption escalates into a food crisis, yet broad climate patterns like El Niño, tracked months before they alter hydro-climatic co…
stat.ML2026
Estimating Staged Event Tree Models via Hierarchical Clustering on the Simplex
Muhammad Shoaib, Eva Riccomagno, Manuele Leonelli +1
Staged tree models enhance Bayesian networks by incorporating context-specific dependencies through a stage-based structure. In this study, we present a new framework for estimatin…
stat.ME2025
Bayesian Causal Effect Estimation for Categorical Data using Staged Tree Models
Andrea Cremaschi, Manuele Leonelli, Gherardo Varando
We propose a fully Bayesian approach for causal inference with multivariate categorical data based on staged tree models, a class of probabilistic graphical models capable of repre…