3 papers
stat.ME2026
Breaking the Winner's Curse with Bayesian Hybrid Shrinkage
Richard Mudd, Abbas Zaidi, Rina Friedberg +3
The widespread adoption of randomized controlled trials (A/B Tests) for decision-making has introduced a pervasive "Winner's Curse": experiments selected for launch often exhibit u…
stat.ME2025
Breaking the Winner's Curse with Bayesian Hybrid Shrinkage
Richard Mudd, Rina Friedberg, Ilya Gorbachev +2
A 'Winner's Curse' arises in large-scale online experimentation platforms when the same experiments are used to both select treatments and evaluate their effects. In these settings…
stat.AP2025
Treatment Effect Learning Under Sequential Randomization
Rina Friedberg, Richard Mudd, Patrick Johnstone +4
Sequential treatment assignments in online experiments lead to complex dependency structures, often rendering identification, estimation and inference over treatments a challenge.…