collaborators

11 papers

stat.ME2026

Introducing precision-weighted bias as a performance measure to inform the inclusion of adaptive designs in meta-analysis

Martin Law, David S. Robertson, Sofia S. Villar +4

We propose a novel, intuitive measure of statistical performance: precision-weighted bias. Precision-weighted bias is defined as the unconditional bias of an estimator weighted by…

stat.ME2026

Safety-Driven Response Adaptive Randomisation: An Application in Non-inferiority Oncology Trials

Maria Vittoria Chiaruttini, Lukas Pin, Sofia S. Villar

The majority of response-adaptive randomisation (RAR) designs in the literature rely on efficacy data to guide dynamic patient allocation. However, their applicability becomes limi…

stat.ME2025

Thompson, Ulam, or Gauss? Multi-criteria recommendations for posterior probability computation methods in Bayesian response-adaptive trials

Daniel Kaddaj, Stef Baas, Edwin Y. N. Tang +3

Bayesian adaptive designs enable flexible clinical trials by adapting features based on accumulating data. Among these, Bayesian Response-Adaptive Randomization (BRAR) skews patien…

stat.ME2025

Informed Burn-In Decisions in RAR: Harmonizing Adaptivity and Inferential Precision Based on Study Setting

Lukas Pin, Stef Baas, Gianmarco Caruso +2

Response-Adaptive Randomization (RAR) is recognized for its potential to deliver improvements in patient benefit. However, the utility of RAR is contingent on regularization method…

stat.AP2025

Bayesian Optimal Phase II design with optimised stopping boundaries and response-adaptive randomisation

Connor Fitchett, Ayon Mukherjee, Sofía S. Villar +1

The Bayesian Optimal Phase II (BOP2) framework is a flexible trial design that can naturally facilitate complex adaptations due to its Bayesian setting. BOP2 uses equal randomisati…

stat.ME2025

Is 1:1 Always Most Powerful? Why Careful Determination of Allocation Ratios Matters in Trial Design

Lukas Pin, Stef Baas, David S. Robertson +1

The principle of allocating an equal number of patients to each arm in a randomized controlled trial remains widely believed to be optimal for maximising statistical power. However…