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20242026
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stat.ME2026

Rashomon-Seeded Annealing for Robust Bayesian Inference in Factorial Designs

Yiyang Fan, Soumyakanti Pan, Tyler H. McCormick

Integrating over model uncertainty in factorial designs via Bayesian model averaging is hindered by the combinatorial explosion of interpretable interaction effects, often yielding…

stat.ME2024

ipd: An R Package for Conducting Inference on Predicted Data

Stephen Salerno, Jiacheng Miao, Awan Afiaz +5

Summary: ipd is an open-source R software package for the downstream modeling of an outcome and its associated features where a potentially sizable portion of the outcome data has…

stat.ME2024

What's the Weight? Estimating Controlled Outcome Differences in Complex Surveys for Health Disparities Research

Stephen Salerno, Emily K. Roberts, Belinda L. Needham +4

In this work, we are motivated by the problem of estimating racial disparities in health outcomes, specifically the average controlled difference (ACD) in telomere length between B…

stat.ME2024

Some models are useful, but for how long?: A decision theoretic approach to choosing when to refit large-scale prediction models

Kentaro Hoffman, Stephen Salerno, Jeff Leek +1

Large-scale prediction models using tools from artificial intelligence (AI) or machine learning (ML) are increasingly common across a variety of industries and scientific domains.…

stat.ME2024

Dempster-Shafer P-values: Thoughts on an Alternative Approach for Multinomial Inference

Kentaro Hoffman, Kai Zhang, Tyler McCormick +1

In this paper, we demonstrate that a new measure of evidence we developed called the Dempster-Shafer p-value which allow for insights and interpretations which retain most of the s…

stat.ME2024

Do We Really Even Need Data?

Kentaro Hoffman, Stephen Salerno, Awan Afiaz +2

As artificial intelligence and machine learning tools become more accessible, and scientists face new obstacles to data collection (e.g. rising costs, declining survey response rat…