activity
20232026
most citedComparing Scale Parameter Estimators for Gaussian Process Interpolation with the Brownian Motion Prior: Leave-One-Out Cross Validation and Maximum Likelihood

3 citations · 3 across the 9 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

9 papers

stat.ML2026

Why not to use the Gaussian kernel

Toni Karvonen, Chris J. Oates

Kernels measure similarity or correlation in tasks such as regression and classification. The Gaussian kernel, other names of which include squared exponential and radial basis fun…

cs.LG2026

Hierarchical Bayesian Quadrature

Tim Weiland, Toni Karvonen, Philipp Hennig

Numerical integration is a cornerstone of various scientific computing applications, such as engineering simulations and model evidence computations in probabilistic machine learni…

stat.ME2026

Sparse Probabilistic Richardson Extrapolation

Chris. J. Oates, Richard Howey, Toni Karvonen

Almost every numerical task can be cast as extrapolation with respect to the fidelity or tolerance parameters of a consistent numerical method. This perspective enables probabilist…

eess.SY2026

Safe learning-based control via function-based uncertainty quantification

Abdullah Tokmak, Toni Karvonen, Thomas B. Schön +1

Uncertainty quantification is essential when deploying learning-based control methods in safety-critical systems. This is commonly realized by constructing uncertainty tubes that e…

cs.LG2026

Bayesian Quadrature

Maren Mahsereci, Toni Karvonen

Bayesian quadrature is a probabilistic, model-based approach to numerical integration, the estimation of intractable integrals, or expectations. Although Bayesian quadrature was po…

stat.ML2025

BayesSum: Bayesian Quadrature in Discrete Spaces

Sophia Seulkee Kang, François-Xavier Briol, Toni Karvonen +1

This paper addresses the challenging computational problem of estimating intractable expectations over discrete domains. Existing approaches, including Monte Carlo and Russian Roul…

stat.ML2025

Stationary MMD Points

Zonghao Chen, Toni Karvonen, Heishiro Kanagawa +2

Approximation of a target probability distribution using a finite set of points is a problem of fundamental importance in numerical integration. Several authors have proposed to se…

stat.ML2025

A Dictionary of Closed-Form Kernel Mean Embeddings

François-Xavier Briol, Alexandra Gessner, Toni Karvonen +1

Kernel mean embeddings -- integrals of a kernel with respect to a probability distribution -- are essential in Bayesian quadrature, but also widely used in other computational tool…

math.ST2023★ 3 cited

Comparing Scale Parameter Estimators for Gaussian Process Interpolation with the Brownian Motion Prior: Leave-One-Out Cross Validation and Maximum Likelihood

Masha Naslidnyk, Motonobu Kanagawa, Toni Karvonen +1

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a Bayesian nonparametric method for regression and interpolation, offering a principled way of quantifying the uncertainties of predicted functi…