4 papers
Betting Against Integrity: Identifying Match-Fixing Through In-Play Market Dynamics
David Winkelmann, Maya Vienken, Christian Deutscher +1
Match-fixing undermines the integrity of sport by eroding public trust and threatening the financial sustainability of clubs and leagues. The global expansion of sports betting mar…
Inference on state occupancy in covariate-driven hidden Markov models
Maya N. Vienken, Jan-Ole Koslik, Roland Langrock
Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are popular tools for analysing animal behaviour based on movement, acceleration and other sensor data. In particular, these models allow to infer how t…
Autoregressive hidden Markov models for high-resolution animal movement data
Ferdinand V. Stoye, Annika Hoyer, Roland Langrock
New types of high-resolution animal movement data allow for increasingly comprehensive biological inference, but method development to meet the statistical challenges associated wi…
How to build your latent Markov model -- the role of time and space
Sina Mews, Jan-Ole Koslik, Roland Langrock
Statistical models that involve latent Markovian state processes have become immensely popular tools for analysing time series and other sequential data. However, the plethora of m…