activity
20232026
most citedMetros reduce car use in European cities but trams do not

4 citations · 6 across the 15 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

21 papers

econ.GN2026

Debt relief and remittances can offset foreign aid cuts for most countries, but some remain locked out

Andrea Vismara, Rafael Prieto-Curiel, Rosie Hayward

In 2025, bilateral foreign aid was reduced by 23%, affecting more than 130 aid recipient countries. We assess whether debt service relief or remittance increases can match the USD…

physics.soc-ph2026

Conflict, mobility and fragmentation in the African interurban network

Andrew Renninger, Valentina Marin, Carmen Cabrera +1

Roads make regional integration possible, but they also concentrate risk. When violence reaches a corridor that carries regional movement, the consequences can extend beyond the at…

physics.soc-ph2026

An Agent-Based Model for Migration Decision-Making Under Higher Frequency of Extreme Climate Events

Valentina Antonaccio Guedes, Rafael Prieto-Curiel

This paper develops an agent-based model of climate-related human migration that links repeated environmental shocks to individual migration decision-making through the joint evolu…

physics.soc-ph2026

Who burdens the welfare state? Migration and ageing in housing, education, and healthcare demand

Guillermo Prieto-Viertel, Carsten Källner, Elma Dervic +3

Political discourse attributes the pressure on European welfare systems to foreign nationals. Yet projections of service demand rarely disaggregate service demand by citizenship st…

physics.soc-ph2025

Why Locking Up Cartel Members Does not Work

Rafael Prieto-Curiel

One of the core strategies to reduce cartel violence is by directly targeting members with law enforcement. Whether targeting leaders, disrupting parts of the organisation, or inca…

econ.GN2025

Migrants as First Responders: A Global Estimate of Disaster-Driven Remittances

Andrea Vismara, Ola Ali, Carsten Källner +2

International remittances represent a vital source of disaster adaptation finance for households around the world, yet their responsiveness to environmental disasters remains poorl…