2 papers
math.ST2026
A Selection Premium Decomposition for the Expected Maximum of Random Walks
Victor H. de la Pena, Fangyuan Lin, Victor K. de la Pena
When models are evaluated on the same validation set of size , the selected winner's apparent performance is biased upward. Suppose models are evaluated on a shared sequ…
math.PR2025
Decoupling for Markov Chains
Nawaf Bou-Rabee, Victor H. de la Peña
Consider a Markov chain with invariant measure that admits the representation , where are i.i.d. random variables and is…