2 papers
econ.EM2025
Testing Exclusion and Shape Restrictions in Potential Outcomes Models
Hiroaki Kaido, Kirill Ponomarev
Exclusion and shape restrictions play a central role in defining causal effects and interpreting estimates in potential outcomes models. To date, the testable implications of such…
econ.EM2024
On the Lower Confidence Band for the Optimal Welfare in Policy Learning
Kirill Ponomarev, Vira Semenova
We study inference on the optimal welfare in a policy learning problem and propose reporting a lower confidence band (LCB). A natural approach to constructing an LCB is to invert a…