3 papers
cs.CE2026
Accurate and Reliable Uncertainty Estimates for Deterministic Predictions Extensions to Under and Overpredictions
Rileigh Bandy, Enrico Camporeale, Andong Hu +2
Computational models support high-stakes decisions across engineering and science, and practitioners increasingly seek probabilistic predictions to quantify uncertainty in such mod…
cs.CE2026
Inference in the presence of model-form uncertainties: Leveraging a prediction-oriented approach to improve uncertainty characterization
Rebekah White, Rileigh Bandy, Teresa Portone
Bayesian inference is a popular approach to calibrating uncertainties, but it can underpredict such uncertainties when model misspecification is present, impacting its reliability…
cs.CE2025
Hybrid Physics-Data Enrichments to Represent Uncertainty in Reduced Gas-Surface Chemistry Models for Hypersonic Flight
Rileigh Bandy, Rebecca Morrison, Erin Mussoni +1
During hypersonic flight, air reacts with a planetary re-entry vehicle's thermal protection system (TPS), creating reaction products that deplete the TPS. Reliable assessment of TP…