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astro-ph.SR2026
A Probabilistic Framework for Incorporating Helioseismic Far-Side Active Regions into SFT Models
Bibhuti Kumar Jha, Lisa A. Upton, K. D. Leka +5
Surface Flux Transport (SFT) models are routinely used to model the Sun's photospheric magnetic field and provide inner boundary conditions for coronal and heliospheric models, yet…
astro-ph.SR2026
Addressing Known Challenges in Solar Flare Forecasting I: Limb-Flare Prediction with a 4-pi Full-Heliosphere Framework
K. D. Leka, Eric L. Wagner, Lisa Upton +3
A demonstrated failure mode for operational solar flare forecasting is the inability to forecast flares that occur near, or just beyond, the solar limb. To address this shortcoming…