4 papers
Risk Is Not the Target: A Monotonic Framework for Evaluating Wildfire Operational Risk Signals
Nicolas Caron, Christophe Guyeux, Hassan Noura +2
Evaluating wildfire risk systems using standard machine-learning metrics such as F1-score or IoU is fundamentally flawed: these metrics assess event prediction accuracy, not the op…
Data-Driven Fire-Zone Segmentation for Improved Short-Term Wildfire Prediction
Nicolas Caron, Christophe Guyeux, Hassan Noura +1
Wildfire prediction models typically discretize study areas into uniform grids, ignoring the heterogeneous spatial distribution of ignitions. We challenge this paradigm by showing…
Proof of Concept: Multi-Target Wildfire Risk Prediction and Large Language Model Synthesis
Nicolas Caron, Christophe Guyeux, Hassan Noura +1
Current state-of-the-art approaches to wildfire risk assessment often overlook operational needs, limiting their practical value for first responders and firefighting services. Eff…
Localized Forest Fire Risk Prediction: A Department-Aware Approach for Operational Decision Support
Nicolas Caron, Christophe Guyeux, Hassan Noura +1
Forest fire prediction involves estimating the likelihood of fire ignition or related risk levels in a specific area over a defined time period. With climate change intensifying fi…