8 papers
FutureX-Pro: Extending Future Prediction to High-Value Vertical Domains
Jiashuo Liu, Siyuan Chen, Zaiyuan Wang +38
Building upon FutureX, which established a live benchmark for general-purpose future prediction, this report introduces FutureX-Pro, including FutureX-Finance, FutureX-Retail, Futu…
AHA: Scalable Alternative History Analysis for Operational Timeseries Applications
Harshavardhan Kamarthi, Harshil Shah, Henry Milner +4
Many operational systems collect high-dimensional timeseries data about users/systems on key performance metrics. For instance, ISPs, content distribution networks, and video deliv…
Modular Deep-Learning-Based Early Warning System for Deadly Heatwave Prediction
Shangqing Xu, Zhiyuan Zhao, Megha Sharma +4
Severe heatwaves in urban areas significantly threaten public health, calling for establishing early warning strategies. Despite predicting occurrence of heatwaves and attributing…
Beyond Magic Words: Sharpness-Aware Prompt Evolving for Robust Large Language Models with TARE
Guancheng Wan, Lucheng Fu, Haoxin Liu +10
The performance of Large Language Models (LLMs) hinges on carefully engineered prompts. However, prevailing prompt optimization methods, ranging from heuristic edits and reinforcem…
TAT: Temporal-Aligned Transformer for Multi-Horizon Peak Demand Forecasting
Zhiyuan Zhao, Sitan Yang, Kin G. Olivares +5
Multi-horizon time series forecasting has many practical applications such as demand forecasting. Accurate demand prediction is critical to help make buying and inventory decisions…
Evaluating System 1 vs. 2 Reasoning Approaches for Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasting: A Benchmark and Insights
Haoxin Liu, Zhiyuan Zhao, Shiduo Li +1
Reasoning ability is crucial for solving challenging tasks. With the advancement of foundation models, such as the emergence of large language models (LLMs), a wide range of reason…