most citedAn inevitably aging world -- Analysis on the evolutionary pattern of age structure in 200 countries

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cond-mat.stat-mech2026

Forecasting Return Time of Extreme Precipitation by Large Deviation Theory

Haotian Xie, Haoxian Liu, Jingfang Fan +1

Forecasting extreme precipitation is essential yet challenging due to its rarity and complexity. We develop a large deviation framework to estimate the return times of extreme prec…