activity
20162026
most citedIs the diurnal pattern sufficient to explain intraday variation in volatility? A nonparametric assessment

14 citations · 18 across the 14 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

16 papers

econ.EM2026

GMM for Panel Data Quantile Regression

Antonio F. Galvao, Ulrich Hounyo, Jiahao Lin

This paper develops a smoothed generalized method of moments (GMM) framework for panel quantile models with individual-specific fixed-effects and endogenous regressors. By smoothin…

econ.EM2026

Bootstrap Inference with a Randomly Assigned Regressor: Covariance Filtering and the Limits of Marginal Resampling

Ulrich Hounyo, Jungbin Hwang

Random assignment can make ordinary least squares (OLS) inference insensitive to outcome dependence, yet iid resampling can still fail because assignment and resampling need not re…

econ.EM2026

Specification Testing for Dyadic Regression Models

Ulrich Hounyo, Jiahao Lin, Xiaojun Song

This paper develops omnibus specification tests for linear conditional-mean models with undirected dyadic data. We establish a uniform projection theorem that reduces the dyadic pr…

econ.EM2026

Distributional Difference-in-Differences: Aggregation Before or After Quantile Inversion?

Ulrich Hounyo

Staggered distributional difference-in-differences produces cohort-specific potential-outcome distributions, but applied work typically wants one overall quantile treatment effect.…

econ.EM2026

Supervised Mixed-Frequency Learning for Macro-Financial Forecasting When Factors are Weak

Ulrich Hounyo, Zhendong Li

Factor-MIDAS regressions forecast a low-frequency target by extracting common factors from a large panel of high-frequency predictors via principal component analysis (PCA). While…

econ.EM2026

Identification and Information after Nuisance Projection

Ulrich Hounyo

Empirical work often removes fixed effects, latent factors, or high-dimensional controls before estimating structural relationships. These transformations reduce confounding but ma…

econ.EM2026

When Does Heteroskedasticity Matter? A Contrast-Specific Theory of Robust Inference

Ulrich Hounyo

Conventional heteroskedasticity diagnostics ask whether the conditional variance of the regression disturbance varies with covariates. This paper asks a different question: when do…

econ.EM2026

Estimation and Inference for the -Quantile of Individual Heterogeneous Coefficient

Antonio F. Galvao, Ulrich Hounyo, Jiahao Lin

This paper proposes estimation and inference procedures for quantiles of the heterogeneous individual-specific coefficients in panel data. Unlike conventional panel quantile regres…

econ.EM2026

Robust Inference for Dyadic Data with Spatially Dependent Nodes

Ulrich Hounyo, Jiahao Lin, Xiaojun Song

We develop inference for complete dyadic samples with spatial dependence governed by geographic distances between nodes, covering settings beyond the scope of existing dyadic infer…

econ.EM2026

Adaptive Econometric Inference under Unknown Dependence: Contrast-Local Validity

Ulrich Hounyo

Empirical conclusions can depend on how researchers model dependence when constructing standard errors. We develop contrast-local validity, which asks whether a covariance restrict…

math.ST2026

Bootstrap Inference under General Two-way Clustering with Serially and Spatially Dependent Common Effects

Ulrich Hounyo, Jiahao Lin

This paper develops bootstrap procedures for inference in linear regression models with two-way clustered data. We characterize the estimator's asymptotic behavior in five mutually…

econ.EM2026

Two-way Clustering Robust Variance Estimator in Quantile Regression Models

Ulrich Hounyo, Jiahao Lin

We study inference for linear quantile regression with two-way clustered data. Using a separately exchangeable array framework and a projection decomposition of the quantile score,…

econ.EM2026★ 14 cited

Is the diurnal pattern sufficient to explain intraday variation in volatility? A nonparametric assessment

Kim Christensen, Ulrich Hounyo, Mark Podolskij

In this paper, we propose a nonparametric way to test the hypothesis that time-variation in intraday volatility is caused solely by a deterministic and recurrent diurnal pattern. W…

econ.EM2025

Robust Two-Sample Inference under Serial Dependence

Ulrich Hounyo, Min Seong Kim

We propose robust inference for two-sample comparison with time-series data under serial dependence and heterogeneous long-run variances. Standardizing with orthonormal-basis (seri…

econ.EM2024

A nonparametric test for diurnal variation in spot correlation processes

Kim Christensen, Ulrich Hounyo, Zhi Liu

The association between log-price increments of exchange-traded equities, as measured by their spot correlation estimated from high-frequency data, exhibits a pronounced upward-slo…

math.ST2016★ 4 cited

The Local Fractional Bootstrap

Mikkel Bennedsen, Ulrich Hounyo, Asger Lunde +1

We introduce a bootstrap procedure for high-frequency statistics of Brownian semistationary processes. More specifically, we focus on a hypothesis test on the roughness of sample p…