activity
20192026
most citedMarkov-Modulated Hawkes Processes for Sporadic and Bursty Event Occurrences

8 citations · 15 across the 9 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

10 papers

stat.AP2026

Dynamic Latent Space Modeling of Inhomogeneous Poisson Network Processes with Applications to International Relations

Jie Jian, Jiguo Cao, Owen G. Ward

We study continuous-time relational event data, where time-stamped dyadic interactions reflect both individual node propensities and evolving relational proximity. We propose a dyn…

stat.ME2026★ 1 cited

Estimating Complex Densities using Two-Stage Normalizing Flows

Roxana Darvishi, David C. Stenning, Ted von Hippel +1

In many scientific applications, the target probability distribution cannot be evaluated in closed form or sampled from directly. Instead, it can often be decomposed into multiple…

stat.ME2026

Evaluating Aggregated Relational Data Models with Simple Diagnostics

Ian Laga, Benjamin Vogel, Jieyun Wang +2

Aggregated Relational Data (ARD) contain summary information about individual social networks and are widely used to estimate social network characteristics and the size of populat…

stat.ME2025

Bayesian Modeling for Aggregated Relational Data: A Unified Perspective

Owen G. Ward, Anna L. Smith, Tian Zheng

Aggregated relational data is widely collected to study social networks, in fields such as sociology, public health and economics. Many of the successes of ARD inference have been…

stat.AP2025

Investigating Experiential Effects in Online Chess using a Hierarchical Bayesian Analysis

Adam Gee, Sydney O. Seese, James P. Curley +1

The presence or absence of winner-loser effects is a widely discussed phenomenon across both sports and psychology research. Investigation of such effects is often hampered by the…

cs.SI2021

Scalable Community Detection in Massive Networks Using Aggregated Relational Data

Timothy Jones, Owen G. Ward, Yiran Jiang +2

The mixed membership stochastic blockmodel (MMSB) is a popular Bayesian network model for community detection. Fitting such large Bayesian network models quickly becomes computatio…

stat.AP2020★ 1 cited

Network Hawkes Process Models for Exploring Latent Hierarchy in Social Animal Interactions

Owen G. Ward, Jing Wu, Tian Zheng +2

Group-based social dominance hierarchies are of essential interest in animal behavior research. Studies often record aggressive interactions observed over time, and models that can…

cs.SI2020★ 1 cited

Online Estimation and Community Detection of Network Point Processes for Event Streams

Guanhua Fang, Owen G. Ward, Tian Zheng

A common goal in network modeling is to uncover the latent community structure present among nodes. For many real-world networks, the true connections consist of events arriving as…

stat.ML2020★ 4 cited

Next Waves in Veridical Network Embedding

Owen G. Ward, Zhen Huang, Andrew Davison +1

Embedding nodes of a large network into a metric (e.g., Euclidean) space has become an area of active research in statistical machine learning, which has found applications in natu…

stat.AP2019★ 8 cited

Markov-Modulated Hawkes Processes for Sporadic and Bursty Event Occurrences

Jing Wu, Owen G. Ward, James Curley +1

Modeling event dynamics is central to many disciplines. Patterns in observed event arrival times are commonly modeled using point processes. Such event arrival data often exhibits…