2 papers
physics.ao-ph2026
Multivariate phase-space interpretation of ensemble forecasts: A comparison of physical and AI models
Martin Bonte, Stéphane Vannitsem
Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF's Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) and the Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System (AIFS-ENS) are compared using a multi-dimensional evaluat…
physics.ao-ph2026
Spread/Error relationship and spatial error structure of precipitation ensemble nowcasting: Comparison of STEPS and generative AI
Martin Bonte, Lesley De Cruz, Fabian Debal +1
The predictability of the generative AI-based nowcasting model LDCast (trained on another region) is evaluated over Belgium, together with the pysteps implementation of the nowcast…