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20242026
most citedHyperparameter Tuning MLPs for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting

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cs.LG2026

Most-Recent Anchoring with Recurrent Ordering for Time Series Forecasting

Jung Min Choi, Ngoc Son Le, Ibram Abdelmalak +2

Long-term forecasting models commonly process all patches in a look-back window using the same fixed stack. Older contextual patches and recent evidence therefore receive the same…

cs.LG2026

Dual-Context Analog Retrieval for Time Series Forecasting

Jung Min Choi, Ngoc Son Le, Ibram Abdelmalak +2

Most long-term time-series forecasting models map the look-back window directly to the full horizon in a single pass. While efficient, this design does not explicitly identify whic…

cs.AI2026

MixBench-TS: A Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Benchmark Where Channel Mixing Pays Off

Ibram Abdelmalak, Mischa Putzke, Jungmin Choi +3

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF) models that mix information across channels assume that the past of one channel carries information about the future of another. Yet the…

cs.LG2026

Two-stage Odd Residual Flows for Mean-Preserving Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting

Kiran Madhusudhanan, Christian Klötergens, Lars Schmidt-Thieme +1

Probabilistic forecasting plays an essential role in risk-sensitive decision-making, particularly in long-horizon settings. However, existing approaches often face a fundamental tr…

cs.LG2026

Do Tabular Foundation Models Agree with Themselves?

Christian Klötergens, Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi, Lars Schmidt-Thieme +1

Tabular Foundation Models (TFMs) are currently the best approach to tabular prediction problems. They are constructed as transformers that approximate the Bayesian posterior predic…

cs.LG2026

CAMP: A Cycle-Aware Multi-Scale Patch Mixer for Time Series Forecasting

Jung Min Choi, Vijaya Krishna yalavarthi, Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Real-world time series are often governed by recurring patterns, but their dominant periods may vary across datasets, forecasting settings, and individual input windows. Existing c…

cs.LG2026

The Importance of Encoder Choice:A Tabular-Image Study

Ilia Koloiarov, Diego Coello de Portugal Mecke, Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi +2

Multimodal learning usually requires a dedicated encoder per modality. When a tabular modality is involved, prior work has been mostly using a \emph{plain MLP} as the encoder. Yet…

cs.LG2026

Gaussian Mixture Copula Processes for Irregular Time Series

Christian Klötergens, Tom Hanika, Lars Schmidt-Thieme +1

We introduce Gaussian Mixture Copula Processes (GMCP), a conditional copula process for irregularly sampled multivariate time series (IMTS) that is expressive and marginalization c…

cs.LG2026

Probabilistic Circuits for Irregular Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

Christian Klötergens, Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi, Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Joint probabilistic modeling is essential for forecasting irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) to accurately quantify uncertainty. Existing approaches often struggle to balanc…

cs.LG2026

NPMixer: Hierarchical Neighboring Patch Mixing for Time Series Forecasting

Jung Min Choi, Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi, Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Multivariate time series forecasting remains a challenge due to the complexity of local temporal dynamics and global dependencies across multiple variables. In this paper, we propo…

cs.LG2026

Sliding-Window Reordering with Overlap Averaging: A Simple Time-Domain Augmentation for Multivariate Forecasting

Jafar Bakhshaliyev, Johannes Burchert, Niels Landwehr +1

Augmentation has become a central technique for improving deep forecasting models, but classification-style transformations tend to break the coherence between the look-back window…

cs.CV2026

HexFormer: Hyperbolic Vision Transformer with Exponential Map Aggregation

Haya Alyoussef, Ahmad Bdeir, Diego Coello de Portugal Mecke +3

Data across modalities such as images, text, and graphs often contains hierarchical and relational structures, which are challenging to model within Euclidean geometry. Hyperbolic…