activity
20232026
most citedD-Vine GAM Copula based Quantile Regression with Application to Ensemble Postprocessing

1 citations · 1 across the 4 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

5 papers

stat.AP2026

Bivariate Postprocessing of Wind Vectors

Ferdinand Buchner, David Jobst, Annette Möller +1

To quantify the uncertainty in numerical weather prediction (NWP) forecasts, ensemble prediction systems are utilized. Although NWP forecasts continuously improve, they suffer from…

stat.AP2024

Gradient-Boosted Mixture Regression Models for Postprocessing Ensemble Weather Forecasts

David Jobst

Nowadays, weather forecasts are commonly generated by ensemble forecasts based on multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models. However, such forecasts are usually miscalib…

stat.ME2024

Gradient-Boosted Generalized Linear Models for Conditional Vine Copulas

David Jobst, Annette Möller, Jürgen Groß

Vine copulas are flexible dependence models using bivariate copulas as building blocks. If the parameters of the bivariate copulas in the vine copula depend on covariates, one obta…

stat.AP2024

Time Series based Ensemble Model Output Statistics for Temperature Forecasts Postprocessing

David Jobst, Annette Möller, Jürgen Groß

Nowadays, weather prediction is based on numerical weather prediction (NWP) models to produce an ensemble of forecasts. Despite of large improvements over the last few decades, the…

stat.ME2023★ 1 cited

D-Vine GAM Copula based Quantile Regression with Application to Ensemble Postprocessing

David Jobst, Annette Möller, Jürgen Groß

Temporal, spatial or spatio-temporal probabilistic models are frequently used for weather forecasting. The D-vine (drawable vine) copula quantile regression (DVQR) is a powerful to…