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20232026
most citedHybrid Models for Financial Forecasting: Combining Econometric, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning Models

3 citations · 11 across the 24 of their papers we have counts for

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10 papers · 1 filter

q-fin.TR2026

MLP-Initialized Reinforcement Learning for Exit Timing in SPX Short-Straddle Portfolios

Jianning Wang, Robert Ślepaczuk, Paweł Sakowski

This paper studies exit timing for SPX short-straddle portfolios using a two-stage supervised and reinforcement-learning framework. Historical episodes first generate ex-post optim…

q-fin.ST2026

When the Fed Speaks: Dynamics and Forecasts of the Volatility Surface

Lukasz Adamski, Robert Slepaczuk

Our primary goal is to forecast and empirically examine the evolution of the implied volatility (IV) surface, with particular focus on the dates of scheduled meetings of the Federa…

cs.LG2026

Dynamic Multi-Pair Trading Strategy in Cryptocurrency Markets with Deep Reinforcement Learning

Damian Lebiedź, Robert Ślepaczuk

This study aims to determine whether the application of Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) as a specialized execution overlay can enhance pair trading in highly volatile cryptocurre…

q-fin.TR2026

Volatility Forecasting and Return Prediction under Market Regimes: Evidence from High-Frequency Chinese Equity Data

Xinyue Fang, Robert Ślepaczuk

This study investigates whether regime-dependent volatility forecasting and machine-learning-based return prediction can be jointly integrated to improve both statistical forecasti…

q-fin.TR2026

Machine Learning-Based Bitcoin Trading Under Transaction Costs: Evidence From Walk-Forward Forecasting

Andrei Bysik, Robert Ślepaczuk

This paper investigates whether machine learning forecasts of hourly BTC-USDT returns can be converted into economically meaningful trading performance after transaction costs. Usi…

q-fin.PM2026

Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework for Diversified Portfolio Management Across Global Equity Markets

Kamil Kashif, Robert Ślepaczuk

This study develops and evaluates a deep reinforcement learning framework for dynamic portfolio allocation across global equity markets. The Soft Actor-Critic algorithm is used to…

q-fin.TR2026

Overreaction as an indicator for momentum in algorithmic trading: A Case of AAPL stocks

Szymon Lis, Robert Ślepaczuk, Paweł Sakowski

This paper investigates whether short-term market overreactions can be systematically predicted and monetized as momentum signals using high-frequency emotional information and mod…

q-fin.TR2026

A novel approach to trading strategy parameter optimization using double out-of-sample data and walk-forward techniques

Tomasz Mroziewicz, Robert Ślepaczuk

This study introduces a novel approach to walk-forward optimization by parameterizing the lengths of training and testing windows. We demonstrate that the performance of a trading…

q-fin.TR2026

Explainable Patterns in Cryptocurrency Microstructure

Bartosz Bieganowski, Robert Ślepaczuk

We document stable cross-asset patterns in cryptocurrency limit-order-book microstructure: the same engineered order book and trade features exhibit remarkably similar predictive i…

q-fin.CP2026★ 1 cited

EXFormer: A Multi-Scale Trend-Aware Transformer with Dynamic Variable Selection for Foreign Exchange Returns Prediction

Dinggao Liu, Robert Ślepaczuk, Zhenpeng Tang

Accurately forecasting daily exchange rate returns represents a longstanding challenge in international finance, as the exchange rate returns are driven by a multitude of correlate…