activity
20222026
most citedIllusions of Criticality: Crises Without Tipping Points

1 citations · 2 across the 17 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

19 papers

nlin.CD2026

A New Route to Chaos through the Geometric Composition of Non-Normal Amplification

D. Sornette, V. R. Saiprasad, V. Troude

Chaos emerges when stretching is repeatedly recycled by reinjection. We uncover a new route to chaos in which the decisive variable is the temporal order of non-normal tangent maps…

physics.bio-ph2026

No persistent circadian oscillator at genome resolution: pseudo-coherence in gut microbiome dynamics

V. Troude, L. Takayasu, R. Maskawa +4

Diurnal rhythms in the gut microbiome are commonly read as evidence of host-driven entrainment or of microbial oscillators that synchronise to a common clock. We reanalyse hourly g…

physics.data-an2026

Inferring Non-Normal Amplification Geometry from Multivariate Time Series

V. R. Saiprasad, V. Troude, D. Sornette

Across hydrodynamics, ecology, neuroscience, network dynamics, non-Hermitian physics, and socio-economic systems, asymptotically stable dynamics can exhibit large transient amplifi…

physics.soc-ph2026

Toward a Geopolitical Crisis Observatory: Diagnosing Systemic Risk in News Flows Using Complex Systems Science

Didier Sornette

Complex-systems science provides media institutions with a rigorous framework to move from reactive reporting to anticipatory diagnosis. Critical events are understood as regime sh…

physics.soc-ph2026

Social Amplification Dominates Collective Hazard Response

Xiaolei Chu, Guanren Zhou, Marco Broccardo +3

Large-scale hazards affect societies not only through direct physical impacts but also through emotions that spread across populations. Fueled by social amplification and networked…

cs.SI2026

HawkesRank: Event-Driven Centrality for Real-Time Importance Ranking

Didier Sornette, Yishan Luo, Sandro Claudio Lera

Quantifying influence in networks is important across science, economics, and public health, yet widely used centrality measures remain limited: they rely on static representations…

nlin.AO2026

Pseudo-Coherence and Stochastic Synchronization: A Non-Normal Route to Collective Dynamics without Oscillators

V. Troude, D. Sornette

Collective temporal organization in complex systems is commonly attributed to synchronization, resonance, or proximity to dynamical instabilities. Here we identify a distinct mecha…

nlin.CD2026

Non-Normal Route to Chaos

D. Sornette, V. R. Saiprasad, V. Troude

Deterministic chaos is usually associated with local spectral expansion: Jacobian eigenvalues are expected to exceed unity somewhere on the attractor. We show that this view is inc…

cs.AI2026

Why AI Alignment Failure Is Structural: Learned Human Interaction Structures and AGI as an Endogenous Evolutionary Shock

Didier Sornette, Sandro Claudio Lera, Ke Wu

Recent reports of large language models (LLMs) exhibiting behaviors such as deception, threats, or blackmail are often interpreted as evidence of alignment failure or emergent mali…

physics.bio-ph2025

Life as Non-Normal Chemical Accelerator

Didier Sornette, Virgile Troude

Life is commonly described as a self-organized, far-from-equilibrium process that maintains internal order by consuming free energy and exporting entropy. This thermodynamic view u…

cond-mat.stat-mech2025

Non-Normal Eigenvector Amplification in Multi-Dimensional Kesten Processes

Virgile Troude, Didier Sornette

Heavy-tailed fluctuations and power law statistics pervade physics, finance, and economics, yet their origin is often ascribed to systems poised near criticality. Here we show that…

cond-mat.stat-mech2025

Phase Transitions Without Instability: A Universal Mechanism from Non-Normal Dynamics

Virgile Troude, Didier Sornette

We identify a new universality class of phase transitions that arises in non-normal systems, challenging the classical view that transitions require eigenvalue instabilities. In tr…

nlin.CD2025

Eigenvector Geometry as a New Route to Criticality in Random Multiplicative Systems

Virgile Troude, Didier Sornette

Heavy-tailed fluctuations and power law distributions pervade physics, biology, and the social sciences, with numerous mechanisms proposed for their emergence. Kesten processes, wh…

cs.LG2025

Sensor optimization for urban wind estimation with cluster-based probabilistic framework

Yutong Liang, Chang Hou, Guy Y. Cornejo Maceda +8

We propose a physics-informed machine-learned framework for sensor-based flow estimation for drone trajectories in complex urban terrain. The input is a rich set of flow simulation…

nlin.CD2025

Unifying Framework for Amplification Mechanisms: Criticality, Resonance and Non-Normality

Virgile Troude, Didier Sornette

We bring together three key amplification mechanisms in linear dynamical systems: spectral criticality, resonance, and non-normality. We present a unified linear framework that bot…

cond-mat.stat-mech2025

Non-Normal Phase Transitions: A New Universality in Complex Systems

Virgile Troude, Didier Sornette

We identify a new universality class of phase transitions that emerges in non-normal systems, extending the classical framework beyond eigenvalue instabilities. Unlike traditional…

nlin.CD2024★ 1 cited

Illusions of Criticality: Crises Without Tipping Points

Virgile Troude, Sandro Claudio Lera, Ke Wu +1

Abrupt shifts in ecosystems, brains, markets, and climate are often diagnosed as signs of approaching a tipping point, i.e. a critical bifurcation where stability is lost. Here we…

cs.SI2024

Social feedback amplifies emotional language in online video live chats

Yishan Luo, Didier Sornette, Sandro Claudio Lera

A growing share of human interactions now occurs online, where the expression and perception of emotions are often amplified and distorted. Yet, the interplay between different emo…

nlin.AO2022★ 1 cited

Non-Normal Interactions Create Socio-Economic Bubbles

Sornette Didier, Sandro Lera, Jianhong Lin +1

In social networks, bursts of activity often result from the imitative behavior between interacting agents. The Ising model, along with its variants in the social sciences, serves…