6 citations · 6 across the 4 of their papers we have counts for
3 papers · 1 filter
Births are difficult to predict even with rich survey and full-population register data
Elizaveta Sivak, Emily M. Cantrell, Thomas Emery +109
Major life events have proven difficult to predict. Does this reflect limits of theory, data, and algorithms, or the large role of chance? We examine one outcome - having a child w…
The Limits of Inference Scaling Through Resampling
Benedikt Stroebl, Sayash Kapoor, Arvind Narayanan
Recent research has generated hope that inference scaling, such as resampling solutions until they pass verifiers like unit tests, could allow weaker models to match stronger ones.…
AI Agents That Matter
Sayash Kapoor, Benedikt Stroebl, Zachary S. Siegel +2
AI agents are an exciting new research direction, and agent development is driven by benchmarks. Our analysis of current agent benchmarks and evaluation practices reveals several s…