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cs.SI2026
Inferring Temporal Dependencies from Social Time Series with the Cross-Correlogram
Bridget Smart, Renaud Lambiotte, Takaaki Aoki +1
Characterizing temporal interactions in social systems is challenging because social behavior can be bursty and non-stationary, violating the stationarity assumptions of many metho…
econ.GN2026
Manipulation in Prediction Markets: An Agent-based Modeling Experiment
Bridget Smart, Ebba Mark, Anne Bastian +1
Prediction markets mobilize financial incentives to forecast binary event outcomes through the aggregation of dispersed beliefs and heterogeneous information. Their growing popular…