activity
20062025
most citedChange-point detection in the historical hurricane number time-series: why can't we detect change-points at US landfall?

6 citations · 17 across the 6 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

6 papers

q-bio.PE2025★ 3 cited

The spatially variable effects of mangroves on flood depths and losses from storm surges in Florida

Siddharth Narayan, Christopher J. Thomas, Kechi Nzerem +4

Mangroves modify storm surges with impacts on property damages, but these effects vary spatially and by storm intensity. We use high-resolution, kilometer-scale flood and loss mode…

physics.ao-ph2007★ 1 cited

Predicting landfalling hurricane numbers from sea surface temperature: theoretical comparisons of direct and indirect approaches

Stephen Jewson, Thomas Laepple, Kechi Nzerem +1

We consider two ways that one might convert a prediction of sea surface temperature (SST) into a prediction of landfalling hurricane numbers. First, one might regress historical nu…

physics.ao-ph2007★ 5 cited

Predicting basin and landfalling hurricane numbers from sea surface temperature

Stephen Jewson, Roman Binter, Shree Khare +2

We are building a hurricane number prediction scheme based on first predicting main development region sea surface temperature (SST), then predicting the number of hurricanes in th…

physics.ao-ph2007★ 1 cited

Predicting landfalling hurricane numbers from basin hurricane numbers: statistical analysis and predictions

Stephen Jewson, Thomas Laepple, Adam O'Shay +3

One possible method for predicting landfalling hurricane numbers is to first predict the number of hurricanes in the basin and then convert that prediction to a prediction of landf…

physics.ao-ph2007★ 1 cited

Correlations between hurricane numbers and sea surface temperature: why does the correlation disappear at landfall?

Thomas Laepple, Enrica Bellone, Stephen Jewson +1

There is significant correlation between main development region sea surface temperature and the number of hurricanes that form in the Atlantic basin. The correlation between the s…

physics.ao-ph2006★ 6 cited

Change-point detection in the historical hurricane number time-series: why can't we detect change-points at US landfall?

Kechi Nzerem, Stephen Jewson, Thomas Laepple

The time series of the number of hurricanes per year in the Atlantic basin shows a clear change of level between 1994 and 1995. The time series of the number of hurricanes that mak…