most citedFive year prediction of Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropical Atlantic: a comparison of simple statistical methods

10 citations · 23 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

5 papers

physics.ao-ph20071 cited

Predicting landfalling hurricane numbers from sea surface temperature: theoretical comparisons of direct and indirect approaches

Stephen Jewson, Thomas Laepple, Kechi Nzerem +1

We consider two ways that one might convert a prediction of sea surface temperature (SST) into a prediction of landfalling hurricane numbers. First, one might regress historical nu…

physics.ao-ph20071 cited

Predicting landfalling hurricane numbers from basin hurricane numbers: statistical analysis and predictions

Stephen Jewson, Thomas Laepple, Adam O'Shay +3

One possible method for predicting landfalling hurricane numbers is to first predict the number of hurricanes in the basin and then convert that prediction to a prediction of landf…

physics.ao-ph20071 cited

Correlations between hurricane numbers and sea surface temperature: why does the correlation disappear at landfall?

Thomas Laepple, Enrica Bellone, Stephen Jewson +1

There is significant correlation between main development region sea surface temperature and the number of hurricanes that form in the Atlantic basin. The correlation between the s…

physics.ao-ph200710 cited

Five year ahead prediction of Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropical Atlantic: a comparison between IPCC climate models and simple statistical methods

Thomas Laepple, Stephen Jewson

There is a clear positive correlation between boreal summer tropical Atlantic sea-surface temperature and annual hurricane numbers. This motivates the idea of trying to predict the…

physics.ao-ph200710 cited

Five year prediction of Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropical Atlantic: a comparison of simple statistical methods

Thomas Laepple, Stephen Jewson, Jonathan Meagher +2

We are developing schemes that predict future hurricane numbers by first predicting future sea surface temperatures (SSTs), and then apply the observed statistical relationship bet…