3 papers
q-bio.PE2026
Scale-dependent Temporal Signatures of Arboviral Transmission in Urban Environments
Marcílio Ferreira dos Santos, Cleiton de Lima Ricardo
Understanding epidemic dynamics in urban environments requires models that capture interactions across space and time while incorporating biological constraints. In this work, we p…
math.DS2025
Curvature-Weighted Contact Networks: Spectral Reduction and Global Stability in a Markovian SIR Model
Marcilio Ferreira dos Santos
We propose a new network-based SIR epidemic model in which transmission is modulated by a curvature-weighted contact matrix that encodes structural and geometric features of the un…
stat.AP2025
Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling of Dengue in Recife, Brazil (2015-2024): The Role of Spatial Granularity and Data Quality for Epidemiological Risk Mapping
Marcílio Ferreira dos Santos, Andreza dos Santos Rodrigues de Melo
Dengue remains one of Brazil's major epidemiological challenges, marked by strong intra-urban inequalities and the influence of climatic and socio-environmental factors. This study…