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cs.LG2026
Births are difficult to predict even with rich survey and full-population register data
Elizaveta Sivak, Emily M. Cantrell, Thomas Emery +109
Major life events have proven difficult to predict. Does this reflect limits of theory, data, and algorithms, or the large role of chance? We examine one outcome - having a child w…
stat.ME2026
Calibrated Estimation and Inference for Semiparametric Regression Models
Yuming Zhang, Yanyuan Ma, Tianxi Cai +2
We consider a broad class of semiparametric regression models in which the conditional distribution of the response takes the form , kno…
stat.AP2026
Equivalence Testing Under Privacy Constraints
Savita Pareek, Luca Insolia, Roberto Molinari +1
Protecting individual privacy is essential across research domains, from socio-economic surveys to big-tech user data. This need is particularly acute in healthcare, where analyses…