activity
20232026
most citedScaling transformer neural networks for skillful and reliable medium-range weather forecasting

19 citations · 37 across the 13 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

17 papers

physics.ao-ph2026

Variable Masking for Climate Emulation in ACE

Alexey Yermakov, Troy Arcomano, Jeremy McGibbon +2

In the recent AI Model Intercomparison Project (AIMIP) benchmark, the ACE2.1-ERA5 emulator was shown to underestimate the true near-surface warming trend both during the training p…

physics.ao-ph2026

Extreme events and statistics in an AI emulator of a global storm-resolving model

Anna Kwa, W. Andre Perkins, Troy Arcomano +7

We present HiRO-ACEv2 (High Resolution Output Ai2 Climate Emulator), a two-stage framework for AI emulation of the 3~km resolution X-SHiELD global storm-resolving model (GSRM), and…

physics.ao-ph2026

Stochastic Emulation of a Fully Coupled Preindustrial E3SMv3 Simulation

Elynn Wu, James P. C. Duncan, Troy Arcomano +11

We present a stochastic coupled emulator of E3SM version 3, built on the SamudrACE framework, which couples an atmosphere emulator (ACE2) with a full-depth ocean emulator (Samudra)…

physics.ao-ph2026

Disentangling the effects of sea surface temperature and CO in global machine learned weather-climate emulators

Spencer K. Clark, Troy Arcomano, James P. C. Duncan +8

While previous versions of the Ai2 Climate Emulator (ACE) have been trained with CO as a forcing, they are only accurate within a narrow range of scenarios, for example climate…

cs.LG2026

High-Resolution Climate Projections Using Diffusion-Based Downscaling of a Lightweight Climate Emulator

Haiwen Guan, Dibyajyoti Chakraborty, Moein Darman +3

The proliferation of data-driven models in weather and climate sciences has marked a significant paradigm shift, with advanced models demonstrating exceptional skill in medium-rang…

physics.ao-ph2025

HiRO-ACE: Fast and skillful AI emulation and downscaling trained on a 3 km global storm-resolving model

W. Andre Perkins, Anna Kwa, Jeremy McGibbon +5

Kilometer-scale simulations of the atmosphere are an important tool for assessing local weather extremes and climate impacts, but computational expense limits their use to small re…

cs.LG2025

OmniCast: A Masked Latent Diffusion Model for Weather Forecasting Across Time Scales

Tung Nguyen, Tuan Pham, Troy Arcomano +4

Accurate weather forecasting across time scales is critical for anticipating and mitigating the impacts of climate change. Recent data-driven methods based on deep learning have ac…

cs.LG2025

Swift: An Autoregressive Consistency Model for Efficient Weather Forecasting

Jason Stock, Troy Arcomano, Rao Kotamarthi

Diffusion models offer a physically grounded framework for probabilistic weather forecasting, but their typical reliance on slow, iterative solvers during inference makes them impr…

cs.LG2025★ 1 cited

AERIS: Argonne Earth Systems Model for Reliable and Skillful Predictions

Väinö Hatanpää, Eugene Ku, Jason Stock +12

Generative machine learning offers new opportunities to better understand complex Earth system dynamics. Recent diffusion-based methods address spectral biases and improve ensemble…

cs.LG2025★ 1 cited

LUCIE-3D: A three-dimensional climate emulator for forced responses

Haiwen Guan, Troy Arcomano, Ashesh Chattopadhyay +1

We introduce LUCIE-3D, a lightweight three-dimensional climate emulator designed to capture the vertical structure of the atmosphere, respond to climate change forcings, and mainta…

physics.ao-ph2025

SamudrACE: Fast and Accurate Coupled Climate Modeling with 3D Ocean and Atmosphere Emulators

James P. C. Duncan, Elynn Wu, Surya Dheeshjith +15

Traditional numerical global climate models simulate the full Earth system by exchanging boundary conditions between separate simulators of the atmosphere, ocean, sea ice, land sur…

cs.LG2025★ 3 cited

Multimodal Atmospheric Super-Resolution With Deep Generative Models

Dibyajyoti Chakraborty, Haiwen Guan, Jason Stock +3

Score-based diffusion modeling is a generative machine learning algorithm that can be used to sample from complex distributions. They achieve this by learning a score function, i.e…

physics.ao-ph2025★ 1 cited

CondensNet: Enabling stable long-term climate simulations via hybrid deep learning models with adaptive physical constraints

Xin Wang, Jianda Chen, Juntao Yang +8

Accurate and efficient climate simulations are crucial for understanding Earth's evolving climate. However, current general circulation models (GCMs) face challenges in capturing u…

cs.LG2024★ 4 cited

LUCIE: A Lightweight Uncoupled ClImate Emulator with long-term stability and physical consistency for O(1000)-member ensembles

Haiwen Guan, Troy Arcomano, Ashesh Chattopadhyay +1

We present a lightweight, easy-to-train, low-resolution, fully data-driven climate emulator, LUCIE, that can be trained on as low as years of -hourly ERA5 data. Unlike most…

physics.flu-dyn2024

Understanding Latent Timescales in Neural Ordinary Differential Equation Models for Advection-Dominated Dynamical Systems

Ashish S. Nair, Shivam Barwey, Pinaki Pal +3

The neural ordinary differential equation (ODE) framework has emerged as a powerful tool for developing accelerated surrogate models of complex physical systems governed by partial…

physics.ao-ph2023★ 19 cited

Scaling transformer neural networks for skillful and reliable medium-range weather forecasting

Tung Nguyen, Rohan Shah, Hritik Bansal +6

Weather forecasting is a fundamental problem for anticipating and mitigating the impacts of climate change. Recently, data-driven approaches for weather forecasting based on deep l…

cs.AI2023★ 8 cited

DeepSpeed4Science Initiative: Enabling Large-Scale Scientific Discovery through Sophisticated AI System Technologies

Shuaiwen Leon Song, Bonnie Kruft, Minjia Zhang +89

In the upcoming decade, deep learning may revolutionize the natural sciences, enhancing our capacity to model and predict natural occurrences. This could herald a new era of scient…