activity
20222026
most citedCausal machine learning for predicting treatment outcomes

322 citations · 358 across the 40 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

46 papers

cond-mat.supr-con2026

Superconducting Diode Effect due to the Inverse Spin Hall Effect in Josephson Junctions with Extrinsic Spin-Orbit Interaction

Yositake Takane, Aurélien Manchon, Gen Tatara

The spin density and Josephson current at equilibrium are studied numerically in a superconductor-normal metal-superconductor (SNS) junction with extrinsic spin-orbit interaction i…

stat.ML2026

Path-specific harm decomposition: A partial identification framework

Ruizi Yan, Dennis Frauen, Maresa Schröder +1

A central goal when designing treatment policies is often to "do no harm", that is, to avoid interventions that improve average outcomes while worsening outcomes for some individua…

cs.LG2026

OncoSynth: Synthetic data generation for treatment effect estimation in oncology

Octavia-Andreea Ciora, Julian Welzel, Dennis Frauen +6

In oncology, access to patient-level data is often restricted. Synthetic data provides an alternative for analyzing treatment effectiveness, but existing methods for synthetic data…

cs.LG2026

Causal methods for LLM development and evaluation

Dennis Frauen, Marie Brockschmidt, Konstantin Hess +10

Large language model (LLM) development is currently driven by large-scale empirical iteration over data mixtures, reward models, routing strategies, and evaluation pipelines. Here,…

cs.LG2026

Adaptive Experimentation for Censored Survival Outcomes

Yuxin Wang, Dennis Frauen, Jonas Schweisthal +3

Adaptive experimentation enables efficient estimation of causal effects, but existing methods are not designed for survival data with censoring, where event times are only partiall…

stat.ML2026

Amortizing Causal Sensitivity Analysis via Prior Data-Fitted Networks

Emil Javurek, Dennis Frauen, Marie Brockschmidt +2

Causal sensitivity analysis aims to provide bounds for causal effect estimates in the presence of unobserved confounding. However, existing methods for causal sensitivity analysis…

cs.LG2026

ConfoundingSHAP: Quantifying confounding strength in causal inference

Marie Brockschmidt, Santo M. A. R. Thies, Maresa Schröder +5

In causal inference, confounders are variables that influence both treatment decisions and outcomes. However, unlike as in randomized clinical trials, the treatment assignment mech…

cs.LG2026

Debiased neural operators for estimating functionals

Konstantin Hess, Dennis Frauen, Niki Kilbertus +1

Neural operators are widely used to approximate solution maps of complex physical systems. In many applications, however, the goal is not to recover the full solution trajectory, b…

cs.LG2026

Orthogonal Learner for Estimating Heterogeneous Long-Term Treatment Effects

Haorui Ma, Dennis Frauen, Valentyn Melnychuk +1

Estimation of heterogeneous long-term treatment effects (HLTEs) is relevant for personalized decision-making in marketing, economics, and medicine, where short-term observational d…

stat.ML2026

Generalized Bayes for Causal Inference

Emil Javurek, Dennis Frauen, Yuxin Wang +1

Uncertainty quantification is central to many applications of causal machine learning, yet principled Bayesian inference for causal effects remains challenging. Standard Bayesian a…

stat.ML2026

Targeted Synthetic Control Method

Yuxin Wang, Dennis Frauen, Emil Javurek +3

The synthetic control method (SCM) estimates causal effects in panel data with a single-treated unit by constructing a counterfactual outcome as a weighted combination of untreated…

cs.LG2026

Rank-Learner: Orthogonal Ranking of Treatment Effects

Henri Arno, Dennis Frauen, Emil Javurek +2

Many decision-making problems require ranking individuals by their treatment effects rather than estimating the exact effect magnitudes. Examples include prioritizing patients for…

cs.LG2026

Nonparametric LLM Evaluation from Preference Data

Dennis Frauen, Athiya Deviyani, Mihaela van der Schaar +1

Evaluating the performance of large language models (LLMs) from human preference data is crucial for obtaining LLM leaderboards. However, many existing approaches either rely on re…

stat.ML2025

DeepBlip: Estimating Conditional Average Treatment Effects Over Time

Haorui Ma, Dennis Frauen, Stefan Feuerriegel

Structural nested mean models (SNMMs) are a principled approach to estimate the treatment effects over time. A particular strength of SNMMs is to break the joint effect of treatmen…

cs.LG2025

Improving the Generation and Evaluation of Synthetic Data for Downstream Medical Causal Inference

Harry Amad, Zhaozhi Qian, Dennis Frauen +3

Causal inference is essential for developing and evaluating medical interventions, yet real-world medical datasets are often difficult to access due to regulatory barriers. This ma…

cs.LG2025

Overlap-weighted orthogonal meta-learner for treatment effect estimation over time

Konstantin Hess, Dennis Frauen, Mihaela van der Schaar +1

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) in time-varying settings is particularly challenging, as the probability of observing certain treatment sequences decreases expone…

cs.LG2025

Assessing the robustness of heterogeneous treatment effects in survival analysis under informative censoring

Yuxin Wang, Dennis Frauen, Jonas Schweisthal +2

Dropout is common in clinical studies, with up to half of patients leaving early due to side effects or other reasons. When dropout is informative (i.e., dependent on survival time…

stat.ML2025

An Orthogonal Learner for Individualized Outcomes in Markov Decision Processes

Emil Javurek, Valentyn Melnychuk, Jonas Schweisthal +3

Predicting individualized potential outcomes in sequential decision-making is central for optimizing therapeutic decisions in personalized medicine (e.g., which dosing sequence to…

cs.LG2025

Overlap-Adaptive Regularization for Conditional Average Treatment Effect Estimation

Valentyn Melnychuk, Dennis Frauen, Jonas Schweisthal +1

The conditional average treatment effect (CATE) is widely used in personalized medicine to inform therapeutic decisions. However, state-of-the-art methods for CATE estimation (so-c…

cs.LG2025

LLM-Driven Treatment Effect Estimation Under Inference Time Text Confounding

Yuchen Ma, Dennis Frauen, Jonas Schweisthal +1

Estimating treatment effects is crucial for personalized decision-making in medicine, but this task faces unique challenges in clinical practice. At training time, models for estim…

cs.LG2025

Foundation Models for Causal Inference via Prior-Data Fitted Networks

Yuchen Ma, Dennis Frauen, Emil Javurek +1

Prior-data fitted networks (PFNs) have recently been proposed as a promising way to train tabular foundation models. PFNs are transformers that are pre-trained on synthetic data ge…

cs.LG2025

Treatment Effect Estimation for Optimal Decision-Making

Dennis Frauen, Valentyn Melnychuk, Jonas Schweisthal +2

Decision-making across various fields, such as medicine, heavily relies on conditional average treatment effects (CATEs). Practitioners commonly make decisions by checking whether…

cs.LG2025

Orthogonal Survival Learners for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects from Time-to-Event Data

Dennis Frauen, Maresa Schröder, Konstantin Hess +1

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) is crucial for personalized decision-making. However, this task is challenging in survival analysis, which includes time-to-event…

cs.LG2025

Efficient and Sharp Off-Policy Learning under Unobserved Confounding

Konstantin Hess, Dennis Frauen, Valentyn Melnychuk +1

We develop a novel method for personalized off-policy learning in scenarios with unobserved confounding. Thereby, we address a key limitation of standard policy learning: standard…