3 papers
q-fin.ST2024
Enhancing Mean-Reverting Time Series Prediction with Gaussian Processes: Functional and Augmented Data Structures in Financial Forecasting
Narayan Tondapu
In this paper, we explore the application of Gaussian Processes (GPs) for predicting mean-reverting time series with an underlying structure, using relatively unexplored functional…
q-fin.ST2024
Analyzing Currency Fluctuations: A Comparative Study of GARCH, EWMA, and IV Models for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Pairs
Narayan Tondapu
In this study, we examine the fluctuation in the value of the Great Britain Pound (GBP). We focus particularly on its relationship with the United States Dollar (USD) and the Euro…
cs.CE2024
Efficient Market Dynamics: Unraveling Informational Efficiency in UK Horse Racing Betting Markets Through Betfair's Time Series Analysis
Narayan Tondapu
Using Betfair's time series data, an analysis of the United Kingdom (UK) horse racing market reveals an interesting paradox: a market with short tails, rapidly decaying autocorrela…