activity
20232026
most citedACE: A fast, skillful learned global atmospheric model for climate prediction

29 citations · 39 across the 9 of their papers we have counts for

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10 papers · 1 filter

physics.ao-ph2026

Extreme events and statistics in an AI emulator of a global storm-resolving model

Anna Kwa, W. Andre Perkins, Troy Arcomano +7

We present HiRO-ACEv2 (High Resolution Output Ai2 Climate Emulator), a two-stage framework for AI emulation of the 3~km resolution X-SHiELD global storm-resolving model (GSRM), and…

physics.ao-ph2026

ClimateBench v2.0: Probabilistic Climate Model Benchmarking

Duncan Watson-Parris, Willa Tobin, Aytaç Paçal +32

We present ClimateBench v2, a standardized protocol for evaluating climate models on diagnostics expected to be informative for their skill in projecting mid-century regional tempe…

physics.ao-ph2026

Stochastic Emulation of a Fully Coupled Preindustrial E3SMv3 Simulation

Elynn Wu, James P. C. Duncan, Troy Arcomano +11

We present a stochastic coupled emulator of E3SM version 3, built on the SamudrACE framework, which couples an atmosphere emulator (ACE2) with a full-depth ocean emulator (Samudra)…

physics.ao-ph2026

Disentangling the effects of sea surface temperature and CO in global machine learned weather-climate emulators

Spencer K. Clark, Troy Arcomano, James P. C. Duncan +8

While previous versions of the Ai2 Climate Emulator (ACE) have been trained with CO as a forcing, they are only accurate within a narrow range of scenarios, for example climate…

physics.ao-ph2025

HiRO-ACE: Fast and skillful AI emulation and downscaling trained on a 3 km global storm-resolving model

W. Andre Perkins, Anna Kwa, Jeremy McGibbon +5

Kilometer-scale simulations of the atmosphere are an important tool for assessing local weather extremes and climate impacts, but computational expense limits their use to small re…

physics.ao-ph2025

SamudrACE: Fast and Accurate Coupled Climate Modeling with 3D Ocean and Atmosphere Emulators

James P. C. Duncan, Elynn Wu, Surya Dheeshjith +15

Traditional numerical global climate models simulate the full Earth system by exchanging boundary conditions between separate simulators of the atmosphere, ocean, sea ice, land sur…

physics.ao-ph2025

Applying the ACE2 Emulator to SST Green's Functions for the E3SMv3 Global Atmosphere Model

Elynn Wu, Finn Rebassoo, Pappu Paul +5

Green's functions are a useful technique for interpreting atmospheric state responses to changes in the spatial pattern of sea surface temperature (SST). Here we train version 2 of…

physics.ao-ph2024★ 4 cited

ACE2-SOM: Coupling an ML atmospheric emulator to a slab ocean and learning the sensitivity of climate to changed CO

Spencer K. Clark, Oliver Watt-Meyer, Anna Kwa +6

While autoregressive machine-learning-based emulators have been trained to produce stable and accurate rollouts in the climate of the present-day and recent past, none so far have…

physics.ao-ph2024★ 3 cited

ACE2: Accurately learning subseasonal to decadal atmospheric variability and forced responses

Oliver Watt-Meyer, Brian Henn, Jeremy McGibbon +6

Existing machine learning models of weather variability are not formulated to enable assessment of their response to varying external boundary conditions such as sea surface temper…

physics.ao-ph2023★ 29 cited

ACE: A fast, skillful learned global atmospheric model for climate prediction

Oliver Watt-Meyer, Gideon Dresdner, Jeremy McGibbon +9

Existing ML-based atmospheric models are not suitable for climate prediction, which requires long-term stability and physical consistency. We present ACE (AI2 Climate Emulator), a…