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20242026
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stat.ML2026

Stabilizing Bandits using Regularization: Precise Regret and A Quantitative Central Limit Theorem

Budhaditya Halder, Ishan Sengupta, Koustav Chowdhury +2

Statistical inference with bandit data presents fundamental challenges owing to adaptive sampling, which violates the independence assumptions underlying classical asymptotic theor…

stat.ML2026

Bandit Simulation for Average Reward Inference

Samya Praharaj, Chih-Yu Chang, Koulik Khamaru +1

Multi-arm bandit algorithms are increasingly used in online platforms, clinical trials, and social science experiments, but valid statistical inference on their performance remains…

stat.ML2026

Stable Thompson Sampling: Valid Inference via Variance Inflation

Budhaditya Halder, Shubhayan Pan, Koulik Khamaru

We consider the problem of statistical inference when the data is collected via a Thompson Sampling-type algorithm. While Thompson Sampling (TS) is known to be both asymptotically…

stat.ML2026

Efficient Inference after Directionally Stable Adaptive Experiments

Zikai Shen, Houssam Zenati, Nathan Kallus +3

We study inference on scalar-valued pathwise differentiable targets after adaptive data collection, such as a bandit algorithm. We introduce a novel target-specific condition, dire…

stat.ML2026

Avoiding the Price of Adaptivity: Inference in Linear Contextual Bandits via Stability

Samya Praharaj, Koulik Khamaru

Statistical inference in contextual bandits is challenging due to the adaptive, non-i.i.d. nature of the data. A growing body of work shows that classical least-squares inference c…

stat.ML2025

On Instability of Minimax Optimal Optimism-Based Bandit Algorithms

Samya Praharaj, Koulik Khamaru

Statistical inference from data generated by multi-armed bandit (MAB) algorithms is challenging due to their adaptive, non-i.i.d. nature. A classical manifestation is that sample a…